This project will have two stages:

1. Situational Analysis Baseline Report based on 2018 Census
• This stage provides us with a situational analysis of the current situation including a trend analysis of social and economic strengths and weaknesses.
• It requires both overarching analysis and sub-regional analysis as specified by each TLA (Southland District Council; Gore District Council; Invercargill City Council)
• Key findings will be presented in a report and a power point presentation.
• There should be consideration of previous reports in order to consolidate thinking and ensure consistent interpretation of data.

2. Future Model and Scenario Development based on 2022 - forward modelling to 2035
• This second stage will provide possible models and projections of future employment and population including insights into factors which could affect industries to grow or decline.
• This is an iterative process providing region wide forward projections and assumptions which will be reflected in a report and power point presentation. There may be multiple scenarios based on different assumptions.
• This stage builds on the previous stage 1 and should use the same sub-regional analysis based as specified by each TLA.

The rationale for this project is to consolidate thinking and develop an accepted single source of truth with clear assumptions. This would then be suitable for consistent use by multiple stakeholders in current and future regional and TLA planning.

An extension of this project is a high-level snapshot of tourism statistics to support future strategic development and management.